Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Why should investor not consider the book value of a share ?

The price of share is derived from its future earning prospects both in the hands of the company and in the hands of the share holder (in form of dividends, buy back etc). Book value represents the historical value recorded in the books of the company.  A share with low price to book value ratio does not mean that the share is cheap. In my previous post, I have discussed about the factors to be considered by long term investor while investing in a share. http://rvinay.blogspot.in/2015/06/factors-to-be-considered-while.html . 

Here is the list of few shares with high price to book value ratio.


S. No.
Name
CMP*
BV
P/BV
ROCE %
DP Ratio %
1
Nestle
6144
294.27
        20.88
62.75
51.27
2
Dabur
282.5
10.84
        26.06
43.24
46.06
3
Britannia
2731.55
123.1
        22.19
66.2
38.91
4
Colgate
2055.2
85.21
        24.12
101.3
58.38
5
HUL
918.3
15.15
        60.61
148.75
75.2
6
Asian Paints
760.8
44.1
        17.25
46.31
44.08
7
Eicher Motors
20352.35
454.53
        44.78
64.82
24.24
8
Ajanta Pharma
1584
89.41
        17.72
55.8
17.24
9
Page Industries
15074.49
434.85
        34.67
75.64
43.51
10
Symphony
2131.4
66.54
        32.03
58.27
45.99


Below is the list of few shares with low price to book value ratio.

S. No.
Name
CMP*
BV
P/BV
1
RIL
1005
739
          1.36
2
ONGC
313.9
201.22
          1.56
3
Hindalco
113.05
196.6
          0.58
4
Tata Steel
306.95
376.91
          0.81
5
Gitanjali Gems
40.00
189.31
          0.21
6
Bank of India
179.85
449.87
          0.40


CMP  NSE price as on 1/7/2015
BV Book Value
P/BV Price to Book Value Ratio
ROCE Return on Capital Employed
DP Ratio Dividend Payout Ratio

Source - Moneycontrol.com


If you compare both the type of shares, you will find that the expensive share is becoming more and more expensive. I have discussed the reasons for such a high valuations in my previous blog. http://rvinay.blogspot.in/2015/06/why-do-some-shares-command-high.html

Here are few possible reasons for high book values.

1. In the past, the company may be a part of M&A exercise. The high reserves may have been created out of that exercise.
2. The assets shown by the company may not be realisable.
3.The company is not an investor friendly company and its Dividend Payout ratio is low.
4. Company is investing its earnings in the projects with high gestation period. 

Generally retail investor think that the high book value is a safeguard against any fall. It would act as a base for the share price which is not the case. If P/BV ratio of a share is low, there must be some reason this (mentioned above).  The investor should understand that the book value is not going be his.He will be getting dividend and capital appreciation which has no relation to the book value.

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